{"id":243,"date":"2008-04-26T22:15:52","date_gmt":"2008-04-27T05:15:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dubinko.info\/blog\/2008\/04\/26\/deadlines-and-connections\/"},"modified":"2008-04-26T22:15:52","modified_gmt":"2008-04-27T05:15:52","slug":"deadlines-and-connections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dubinko.info\/blog\/2008\/04\/deadlines-and-connections\/","title":{"rendered":"Deadlines and connections"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/farm4.static.flickr.com\/3246\/2443624262_d3496e9ce5_s.jpg\" style=\"cursor: pointer\" class=\"yfsc_image\" id=\"yfsc_1_23180791@N05\" align=\"undefined\" \/><\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m not involved in the the corporate wrangling about <span class=\"yshortcuts\" id=\"lw_1209272661_0\">Microsoft<\/span> and <span class=\"yshortcuts\" id=\"lw_1209272661_1\">Yahoo<\/span>! talks. Which leaves me relatively free to comment on it. [Disclosure: I am, not too surprisingly, a Yahoo! shareholder.]<\/p>\n<p>Lots of things have been happening lately. A <a href=\"http:\/\/blog.wired.com\/business\/2008\/04\/deadline-passes.html\">deadline<\/a> of, well, today. Talks of <span class=\"yshortcuts\" id=\"lw_1209272661_2\">Google<\/span> adsense <a href=\"http:\/\/www.techcrunch.com\/2008\/04\/09\/yahoo-provokes-microsoft-with-google-adsense-for-search-trial\/\">trials<\/a>. And all kinds of merger speculation involving <a href=\"http:\/\/gigaom.com\/2007\/06\/20\/myspace-yahoo-facebook-rupert-murdoch\/\">Rupert Murdoch<\/a> in some fashion, or else <a href=\"http:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/tech-ticker\/article\/833\/Looking-Through-the-Yahoo-AOL-Smokescreen?tickers=yhoo,twx,goog\">AOL<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>But I haven&#8217;t seen anyone point out this connection: Google owns 5% of <span class=\"yshortcuts\" id=\"lw_1209272661_3\">AOL<\/span>, having <a href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/press\/pressrel\/twaol_expanded.html\">invested a billion bucks<\/a> and taken over search there a couple of years ago. So if Yahoo! and AOL merged, there would <em>already<\/em> be a Google advertising connection in place. Running pre-trials now is just due dilligence on something that might happen anyway.<\/p>\n<p>Having both an in-house advertising network and an outsourced one has some advantages too, namely in the form of &#8220;knobs&#8221; that can be adjusted to tune margins as conditions warrant. And maintaining the in-house system keeps Google honest and makes sure that relatively good deals can be negotiated in the future.<\/p>\n<p>Lots of pundits talk about regulatory scrutiny, but honestly, it&#8217;s been years since any antitrust machinery in this country has been effective. And the recent spectrum auctions showcased Google&#8217;s skill at turning regulatory tables in their favor. If it came down to it, the smart people on both sides of the table <a href=\"http:\/\/news.yahoo.com\/s\/nm\/20080425\/bs_nm\/google_yahoo_dc_1\">shouldn&#8217;t have a problem<\/a> crafting an agreement in a way that meets muster, even in the stricter EU.<\/p>\n<p>Summary: based solely on public reports, it seems like the AOL connection might be a credible threat to Microsoft&#8217;s appetite. The ball is firmly in Steve&#8217;s court now. We&#8217;ll see what he does.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;m not involved in the the corporate wrangling about Microsoft and Yahoo! talks. Which leaves me relatively free to comment on it. [Disclosure: I am, not too surprisingly, a Yahoo! shareholder.] Lots of things have been happening lately. A deadline of, well, today. Talks of Google adsense trials. And all kinds of merger speculation involving&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[34,26,1,17,15],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-243","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-commercialism","category-microsoft","category-stuff","category-trends","category-yahoo"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"I&#039;m not involved in the the corporate wrangling about Microsoft and Yahoo! talks. 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