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	<title>Comments on: Economics 101 question</title>
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		<title>By: Rob Koberg</title>
		<link>http://dubinko.info/blog/2010/02/08/economics-101-question/comment-page-1/#comment-4796</link>
		<dc:creator>Rob Koberg</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Feb 2010 23:39:59 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>How much does it cost to run the box?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>How much does it cost to run the box?</p>
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		<title>By: Dorian Taylor</title>
		<link>http://dubinko.info/blog/2010/02/08/economics-101-question/comment-page-1/#comment-4793</link>
		<dc:creator>Dorian Taylor</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Feb 2010 05:48:32 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>(Disclaimer: what I know about economics and finance comes almost exclusively from blogs and Wikipedia.)

Based on my meager observations, I&#039;m fairly confident that the valuation of oddly-shaped investments amounts to be whatever fiction the principals can agree upon. After all, how do you value something that can&#039;t be compared effectively to anything else?

That said, however, business journalists seem to speak of corporate acquisitions in terms of multipliers of &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Free_cash_flow&quot;&gt;free cash flow&lt;/a&gt;, which at a glance suggests how many years it would take to earn the purchase back in dividends at the current rate.

It&#039;s also worth noting that valuing an investment based on its past performance is a bet that it will continue to perform as well or better than it has, and can probably be considered &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy&quot;&gt;a variant of the gambler&#039;s fallacy&lt;/a&gt;, or perhaps &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/taleb08/taleb08_index.html&quot;&gt;the problem belonging to Nassim Taleb&#039;s Thanksgiving turkey&lt;/a&gt; (no fragment anchor unfortunately; instead page search for &quot;Bogus Math&quot;).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>(Disclaimer: what I know about economics and finance comes almost exclusively from blogs and Wikipedia.)</p>
<p>Based on my meager observations, I&#8217;m fairly confident that the valuation of oddly-shaped investments amounts to be whatever fiction the principals can agree upon. After all, how do you value something that can&#8217;t be compared effectively to anything else?</p>
<p>That said, however, business journalists seem to speak of corporate acquisitions in terms of multipliers of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Free_cash_flow">free cash flow</a>, which at a glance suggests how many years it would take to earn the purchase back in dividends at the current rate.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s also worth noting that valuing an investment based on its past performance is a bet that it will continue to perform as well or better than it has, and can probably be considered <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy">a variant of the gambler&#8217;s fallacy</a>, or perhaps <a href="http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/taleb08/taleb08_index.html">the problem belonging to Nassim Taleb&#8217;s Thanksgiving turkey</a> (no fragment anchor unfortunately; instead page search for &#8220;Bogus Math&#8221;).</p>
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